Is this a quote or financial forecast?

No. It is a simplified scenario tool for directional insight. Real margins and payback depend on reliability, service costs, pricing power, financing terms, and utilization.

What is service attach?

Service attach is the percentage of customers who purchase a recurring service plan or software subscription. It often drives long-term profitability and reduces cyclicality.

Why include warranty reserve?

Warranty reserve approximates expected replacements, repairs and returns. For early robotics products, warranty and field service can dominate economics.

Can I share a scenario with someone?

Yes. Use “Copy share link” to encode your assumptions into the URL.

ROBOCHRONICLE TOOLS 2026 EDITION UNIT ECONOMICS

Robot Unit Economics Simulator

Directional unit economics for a robotics product (humanoid, mobile robot, cobot). Model pricing, BOM, assembly, warranty reserves, service attach, and financing to estimate gross profit, contribution, and 5-year value.

Inputs Per unit unless noted

Product label

Hardware selling price (ASP) USD

BOM cost USD

Assembly + test USD

Shipping + install USD

Warranty reserve (% of ASP)

Channel / sales cost (% of revenue)

Service plan price (USD / year)

Service attach rate (%)

Service delivery cost (% of service revenue)

Ongoing support opex (USD / year)

Economic life (years)

Discount rate (%)

Monthly fee (USD / month)

Contract term (months)

Utilization factor (0.5–1.0)

Early churn probability (% / year)

Notes (optional)

This is a simplified unit economics model. Warranty, field service, uptime, and renewals dominate real outcomes.

Results

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Gross profit (hardware)

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5-year service gross profit (expected)

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Service price × attach × (1 − service COGS) × years (discounted in NPV).

Contribution (5-year NPV)

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Implied payback time

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When cumulative discounted contribution turns positive.

5-year contribution curve discounted cash contribution

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How to use

Use this for sensitivity analysis: adjust warranty reserves, service attach, and service delivery costs. Early robotics businesses often look unprofitable until reliability and service efficiency improve.