How This Model Works
The calculator starts with a role baseline (a rough “default” risk profile), then adjusts the score using task-level drivers.
This mirrors how automation typically happens: not by replacing a job title, but by automating specific tasks inside the role.
“Software automation” (AI copilots, workflows, back-office automation) often arrives sooner than physical automation.
That’s why the tool also estimates a separate humanoid disruption likelihood and a horizon.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does “automation risk” mean here?
It is a directional estimate of how economically and technically automatable a role is, based on task drivers such as routineness,
social complexity, safety/regulation, and environment variability.
Is this prediction certain?
No. This tool is a scenario model, not a guarantee. Adoption depends on costs, reliability, regulation, labor supply,
and how tasks are redesigned in real operations.
Why separate “AI software automation” vs “humanoid disruption”?
Many roles are partially automated by software (workflows, copilots, back-office). Humanoid disruption refers specifically to physical task replacement,
which usually requires higher reliability, safety validation, and integration.
How should I use the result?
Use it to compare scenarios and identify which task drivers push your role toward higher or lower automation risk.
Then focus on defensive skills: complex problem solving, coordination, customer trust, or domain-specific safety responsibilities.
For enterprise-grade decisions, pair this tool with detailed workflow mapping, safety constraints, and a full TCO/ROI model.